War and Peace in the Caucasus

27.01.2016

Kadyrov’s Calculated Provocation

Pro-Moscow Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov has begun 2016 by picking fights with Russia’s opposition. Although they see it as a sign of his political strength, the new row reveals his weakness: Kadyrov is anxious to get renewed political and economic support from the Kremlin for Chechnya’s “special status.”
21.01.2016

Islamic State Menaces Dagestan

The Russian authorities have been reluctant to admit that an attack in southern Dagestan on the eve of New Year was the work of Islamic State. The organization is making a bid to play a role in the North Caucasus.
27.11.2015

Azerbaijan in an Era of Cheap Oil

The double blow of falling oil prices and a decrease in remittances from Russia is making Azerbaijan economically fragile. Azerbaijan’s leaders have not prepared the country for future shocks.
20.11.2015

Divisions and Defiance Among Russia’s Muslims

Russia’s official Muslim establishment blames the West for the rise of the self-proclaimed Islamic State and refuses to admit that radical Islam has a real social base, ignoring the radicalization of many ordinary Muslims in Russia and Central Asia.
16.11.2015

Exorcising Chechnya: Kadyrov and the Islamic State

Despite his harsh rhetoric, Kadyrov now takes a pragmatic view of the Islamic State’s influence on the situation in Chechnya and is committing himself to “exorcise” would-be recruits or returnees from the Middle East rather than merely destroying them.
6.11.2015

Trepidation at Georgia’s TV Takeover

The Georgian government’s move to take over Rustavi-2 television drags the country further into the politics of vendetta.
27.10.2015

Georgia’s 2008 Legal Trap

The start of an investigation by the International Criminal Court into the August 2008 Georgia-Russia war could be embarrassing for Russia, but have graver legal consequences for Georgia.
30.09.2015

The Still-Topical Tagliavini Report

Many people are trying to rewrite the history of the 2008 Georgia-Russia War in the light of the Ukraine crisis. The EU’s report on the war is still a useful baseline and a reminder of how different the two conflicts are.
23.09.2015

The Karabakh Conundrum

Even as confrontation deepens between Russia and the West in other parts of the post-Soviet space, the Karabakh conflict has its own logic and still compels the geopolitical rivals to work together.
7.09.2015

Downfall in Dagestan

A life sentence handed down to Said Amirov, once the most powerful man in the largest republic in the North Caucasus, shows that almost no one in present-day Russia is untouchable
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