War and Peace in the Caucasus


The Chechen Connection?

It is impossible to imagine Ramzan Kadyrov calling his subordinates and directly instructing them to commit the murder of Boris Nemtsov. However, the xenophobia and fear of the West characteristic of some segments of Russia’s Muslim community, including Muslims in the North Caucasus, creates a favorable climate for such acts.

Armenia, Turkey Clashing Over April 24

The Turkish government’s decision to hold a ceremony to commemorate the Gallipoli battles on April 24, in competition with the Armenian commemorations in Yerevan, looks like a political mistake.

A Warning for Moscow: The Armenian-Turkish Protocols

  • Maxim Suchkov
Russia should be watchful of future Armenian-Turkish relations. It should begin to formulate a long-term strategy that could marry its own interests toward the two important states of Turkey and Armenia.

Economic Turmoil in the Caucasus

Devaluing its currency, Azerbaijan follows its neighbors into a time of economic struggle.

The Karabakh Truce Under Threat

A worsening pattern of violence on the Karabakh ceasefire line increases the danger of a war by miscalculation in 2015.

Sources of Israel’s Policy in the Caucasus

  • Maxim Suchkov
Israel’s interests in the Caucasus have three principal dimensions: strategically, as a means of encircling Iran; in the mid-term, as a zone of energy supplies; and in a short-term, as a market for selling high tech arms and ammunition.

Prospects for Turkey’s New “Armenia Opening” and Russia’s Concerns

  • Pavel Shlykov
Recently the normalization of Turkish-Armenian relations has drawn the attention of both Turkish and world media. However, current activities around the “Armenian question” failed to create solid ground for real compromise between the two states.

Armenia: Aftermath of a Massacre

The political fallout of the horrible murders in Gyumri will not result in a strategic re-orientation by Armenia away from Russia. However, it will undermine public support for Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan and his government.

Ramzan Kadyrov as a Federal-Level Politician

Ramzan Kadyrov, head of the Chechen Republic in the North Caucasus, is now firmly entrenched in Russian politics at the federal-level, and it appears that he is there to stay, because Putin and Kadyrov really need each other.

Swallowing South Ossetia

Russia and South Ossetia are about to sign a “Treaty of Alliance and Integration.” However, normalization of relations with Georgia is impossible as long as Moscow continues to strengthen its grip on South Ossetia and Abkhazia.
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