Kazakh President Nazarbayev’s reelection is unlikely to lead to serious changes in the country’s economic or foreign policies. Rather, he simply wants to conserve his positions to avoid excessive concerns in the future.
Due to his age, young Kim Jong-un cannot afford to rule the way his aged father did. The old system will not guarantee him another 40—50 years in power. Therefore, he is forced to change it, however risky these changes might be.
The conflict in Ukraine heralds the start of a new period in world politics, where great powers like Russia and China are challenging the U.S.-dominated world order and where Europe lacks a common security system.
The new Minsk agreement will not necessarily prevent further escalation, but it might postpone it. The world should work hard to make sure that the shaky truce does not founder, leading to a broader war.
Russia’s performance at the Munich Security Conference shows that Moscow does not see any value in reaching out to the broad policy community in the West.
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