The improvement in the U.S.-Iran relations was quite expected after Hassan Rowhani came to power. The main question today is that of mutual confidence and the genuineness of the intentions of the new Iranian president.
If 1991 opened opportunities for Russia, including a path toward a rule-of-law state and an open society, 1993 closed all options except one: a new system of personalized power.
The long-awaited “democratic package” of proposals offered by Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan is small for the Kurds. By doing something but not everything, he is clearly playing for time.
A special arrangement may be devised for the Eastern Partnership countries so that they can associate with both Russia and the EU. It would effectively serve to form a loose economic alliance between the EU and the Eurasian Union tied together by the common denominator: the Eastern Partnership nations.
The October elections in Azerbaijan and Georgia seem to mean different things for those two countries. In Azerbaijan, there is a continuity of Aliev rule that is moving toward sultanism. In Georgia, one could observe the end of one epoch and the beginning of another.
Obama needs to follow up on the Syrian disarmament plan and be ready to augment it by a serious effort at a political settlement in Syria within the Geneva framework. If there is to be a solution on Syria, Iran should be part of it. Engaging the Iranians on Syria would be a confidence building measure which would also help in the nuclear talks.
As Russia proceeds with its massive rearmament program, its arms exports, a lifeline in the 1990s, will be important, but no longer critical. The truly critical question is, what Russia itself will be arming against.
The tenth-anniversary Valdai Club meeting was named “Russia’s diversity for the Modern World.” Nevertheless, the issue of diversity was put to the side by other hot current issues: the recent Russian elections, corruption, and Syria.
Terrorism is hardly to be found in a traditional religious society, consisting of people who are brought up and educated there, who know this tradition, its texts and practices, and whose life is religiously integral rather than separated into religious and profane parts.
Merkel’s leadership is made up of a whole series of anti-leader qualities: attempts to put off needed decisions, not wanting to take responsibility, an emphasis on pragmatism, privatizing opponents’ ideas, and refusing to set a clear foreign policy line.
The Alliance is waiting now for the U.S.-Afghan agreement, which will give a political and legal base for the U.S. presence in Afghanistan. The problem is that Hamid Karzai is not ready to sign this agreement.
For Europe as a whole to play a strategic role in global affairs it needs to be more integrated internally. A sense of direction will be required, alongside a will to be an independent actor on the world stage, and pay the price.
Unexpectedly, Russia has emerged as a positive force in the eyes of the West. The eternal spoiler has turned into a benevolent power which toils to find a common solution with the West.
Both America and Russia have turned from the Yalta legacy of the “areas of influence” and interference in domestic affairs of other states to noninterference even in the case of mass slaughter.
Russia has managed to step up from a naysayer and a spoiler vis-a-vis U.S. actions to an independent full partner. With this, Russia has again earned its permanent Security Council seat.
The SCO helps to create a spirit and network of cooperation in many fields, primarily in economics and security. Thanks to its structure, it can find responses to emerging security challenges.
Yevgeny Roizman seems to be a politically savvy realist. If he continues applying this mindset to his mayor position, he may shape up to be a formidable leader of the Russian opposition.
The Improvement in the U.S.-Iran Relations and Its Implications
1993: Russia’s “Small” Civil War
Waiting for More in Diyarbakir
To Overcome the Need to Choose “Either the Eurasian Union or the EU”―They Can Be Made Compatible
Does the South Caucasus Have a Chance?
Working for His Nobel
Never Leave Home Without a Tank
Jubilee With Everything But the Unexpected
Religion of a Gunman
Angela Merkel: Time to Take the Lead
Brussels Discussions on Afghanistan
Limits of Leadership
EUKRAINE?
Hold Off on Champagne: Hard Slog Lies Ahead
A Putin Problem
What Has and Has Not Changed After the U.S.-Russia Agreement on Syria
The Obama-Putin Doctrine
And Finally, It Turns
SCO Matters
The Roizman Phenomenon