New Eastern Europe

17.08.2020

Game Over for Lukashenko: the Kremlin’s Next Move

The Kremlin has had enough of Lukashenko, but it cannot allow Belarus to follow the path of Ukraine and become another anti-Russian, NATO-leaning bulwark on its borders.
15.08.2020

Belarus’s Fight for Freedom

The impending collapse of the Belarusian regime and whatever comes next reveal a lot more than events in Ukraine did about possible political transformation in Russia.
13.08.2020

Belarus Protests Signal the Autumn of Lukashenko’s Regime

It’s not yet clear how the country will emerge from this political crisis, but it’s safe to say things won’t go back to the way they were.
10.08.2020

Can Russia-West Divide Save “Europe’s Last Dictator” in Belarus?

Both Russia and the West may be sick and tired of the mercurial Belarusian autocrat, but they still see him as the lesser evil.
4.08.2020

Mercenaries’ Arrests Deepen Minsk-Moscow Rift

Whatever the truth behind the arrests of alleged Russian mercenaries in Belarus, the incident cannot fail to exacerbate the main problem in the relationship between Minsk and Moscow: a protracted crisis of trust.
6.07.2020

Embattled Lukashenko Loses Friends in East and West

Belarus is moving toward a new geopolitical identity. Instead of its status as a peacekeeper between East and West, Minsk may soon find that it lacks a good relationship with either side.
24.06.2020

Russia-Serbia Special Relationship Is On Borrowed Time

Moscow’s trump card in the Balkans is its right to veto Kosovo’s accession to the UN. A likely agreement between Serbia and Kosovo will leave Russia superfluous to requirements.
12.06.2020

Belarus Reshuffle Produces “Wartime Cabinet”

The steep economic downturn and pre-election repression in Belarus are not the most favorable backdrop for President Lukashenko’s reelection. It’s not entirely clear what resources—other than force—Lukashenko plans to rely on for his sixth presidential term.
2.06.2020

Does Belarus Election Mark Start of New Era?

Two figures from within the political establishment are set to challenge Alexander Lukashenko in the presidential election this summer, laying the ground for a shake-up of politics in Belarus.
25.03.2020

Coronavirus Inflames Russia-Belarus Quarrel

Having closed the border, even for six weeks, Russia has taken yet another psychologically important step in the process of its estrangement from Belarus.
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