Carnegie Moscow Center
Russia’s new relationship with the EU could be that of a hybrid vehicle that can run either off the old internal combustion model of East-West geopolitical division or off the new system of global, regional, and sub-regional regimes that preserve and expand the “shared spaces” of Russia and Europe.
Russians have become skeptical about a truly global order. At best, interactions with Western countries will be transactional, based on national interests when those happen to coincide or come close.
Putin has embraced patriotism and Eurasianism, but Russia must soon confront economic, security, and demographic headwinds, as well as the imperative of reform.
Putin directs a foreign policy devoted to the concept of Russia as a great power. Even if he steps down as president in 2024, Putin will likely continue as Russia’s primary leader for years to come.
Russia’s foreign policy priorities in the coming years hinge upon solidifying Russia’s great power status outside the post-Soviet space as well as reducing the country’s political isolation.
The Carnegie Moscow Center’s new project, “Minimizing the Risk of an East-West Collision: Practical Ideas for European Security,” provides insight into navigating the increasingly contentious relationship between Russia and the West. This project will provide workable solutions on how to alleviate tensions, prevent conflict, and manage current disputes.
The project is co-led by Carnegie’s Dmitri Trenin and Alexander Baunov, and supported by the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office.
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