A group of former policymakers, generals, and business leaders from Russia, North America, and Europe chart a roadmap of practical action to move toward an inclusive Euro-Atlantic Security Community.
Nikolay Petrov writes that recent protests have undermined the legitimacy of Russian authorities and significantly weakened Putin's hold on power. Even if the protests were to unexpectedly stop, the process of chipping away at Putin's regime has been set in motion.
Dmitri Trenin explains that Moscow’s position on Syria is primarily shaped by the recent experience of Libya, strong doubts concerning the Syrian opposition, and suspicions about U.S. motives.
Lilia Shevtsova argues that Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin seem to have staked their futures on Putin’s victory in the first round of the presidential elections.
Alexey Malashenko notes that the ruling class emerged victorious from the recent parliamentary elections in Kazakhstan, but the overconfidence of Kazakh leaders means that all economic, social, and political issues remain unresolved.
Alexey Malashenko writes that the North Caucasus remains economically and politically a part of Russia, but the internal situation there is increasingly regulated by the region’s own local traditions. In civilizational terms, the region is drifting further apart from Russia.
As Vladimir Putin prepares to return to the presidency in the 2012 elections, the prospects for Russia’s future are unclear.
Michael Swaine and Oliver Palmer write that China’s impact on the U.S. economy and its rising global power gives China a significant role in the Republican primaries for the 2012 U.S. presidential elections.
Thomas de Waal considers whether Georgian President Saakashvili will leave the scene gracefully when his term ends and allow more pluralistic politics to emerge in Georgia.
Jessica T. Mathews looks back on the last twelve months and previews the year ahead. The theme of 2011 was surprise and rapid change and this will likely continue in 2012.
Dmitri Trenin writes that, while the project of “grand Eurasian alliance” between Russia and China currently appears unworkable, the Sino-Russian strategic partnership is a major boon for both countries and acts as one of the pillars of peace and stability in Asia.
Sergei Aleksashenko explains that Russia faces serious economic challenges, and a combination of structural political and economic reforms is required to save the country from stagnation.
In a new book edited by Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov, leading experts analyze the possible scenarios for Russia’s development and conclude that the political and economic system Putin created is incapable of dealing with Russia’s rapidly changing conditions.
Absent a good education environment, there is little room for the Arab world’s youth to turn into responsible citizens who can consolidate and stimulate social transformation to bring about more prosperous and free societies.
An increasing trade deficit with China, coupled with Chinese purchases of large tracts of Latin American farmland, could cause strain between China and Latin American nations.
The obvious and often painful mismatch between aspiration and reality in European foreign policy has plagued discourse on European integration during the last decade.
As speculation increases that Iran is inching closer to acquiring nuclear weapons, rhetoric regarding war may just be an effort to strengthen diplomacy.
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