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Recent Publications

    • Op-Ed

    Belt and Road to Where?

    • Alexander Gabuev
    • December 08, 2017
    • Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia Pacific

    Setting aside the shortcomings of the Belt and Road concept, the “OBOR hype’ around the world points to a real and fundamental trend — the ascent of China as a truly global economic and military power.

    • Op-Ed

    Vladimir Putin Will Exploit Russia's Olympic Scandal for His Own Ends

    The ban on Russia taking part in the 2018 Winter Olympics is a gift to Russian President Vladimir Putin. For Putin, this is perfect fuel for the besieged fortress concept, which is one of the mainstays of his personal legitimacy and popularity.

    • Op-Ed

    Red Scares, Then and Now

    Russia’s interference in American and European elections constitutes a serious offense. But by treating Russian President Vladimir Putin and his cronies as an existential threat, Western leaders are playing directly into the Kremlin’s hands, and validating its false narrative about Russia’s place in the world.

    • Op-Ed

    Russia Has Grand Designs For the International Order

    Moscow’s new grand strategy is still in gestation. It seeks to maximize connectivity with all, while putting Russia’s own interests first. Managing a large number of very different partners is difficult, but not impossible, as Moscow’s recent experience in the Middle East shows.

    • Op-Ed

    Is Putin Losing Control of Russia's Conservative Nationalists?

    Supporters of a free Russia have long dreamed of a day when the Orthodox Church is separate from the state and when elected officials are unafraid to oppose Kremlin ministers. The latter is certainly happening, but among those who are taking advantage of this new freedom first are zealots who speak in a language of aggressive and intimidating conservatism.

    • Op-Ed

    Alexei Navalny’s Permanent Revolution

    Time is on Navalny’s side. If he doesn’t commit a blunder that disenchants potential voters, and if the authorities don’t take the brute force approach of locking him away for a number of years, he could emerge as a key opposition figure between 2018 and 2024.

    • Article

    A Past That Divides: Russia’s New Official History

    In recent years, the Russian government has formulated a policy on the country’s history that aims to consolidate the nation around a single official version of the past. However, because this single version of official collective memory is not acceptable to all citizens, this policy is causing divisions in Russian society.

    • Op-Ed

    China and Russia’s Dangerous Entente

    Chinese and Russian leaders won’t always agree, but their deepening cooperation and mistrust of the U.S. is here to stay. Unfortunately, American leaders have shown few signs that they know how to navigate this new reality, let alone manage the competition among great powers as non-Western countries grown in stature.

    • Op-Ed

    What’s the U.S.’s Best Chance With North Korea? Russia

    Washington and Pyongyang will eventually need to resume direct talks. With neither party ready for that yet, at first secret contacts will have to be organized in third countries. In the meantime, de-escalation is the order of the day, and Russia one of its unlikely brokers.

    • Op-Ed

    New World Order

    • Dmitri Trenin, Jacob Link
    • September 15, 2017
    • Harvard Political Review

    The United States is still the leading power, yet this dominance is no longer uncontested. This contestation is coming in a big way from China and other countries.

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