20 Years of Leading Analysis

War and Peace in the Caucasus

 

The emergence of the new states of the Caucasus has been strained by territorial disputes. Conflicts smolder in Chechnya, Abkhazia, and Nagorno-Karabakh. Terrorism and extremism have spread into the region from neighboring Middle East and Central Asia. Islam has emerged as a factor of public life. Caspian oil and its transit routes to the West have become the object of rivalry between major powers. How these challenges are met will determine the security outlook for Russia, Europe, and, in part, the United States.

  • Eurasia Outlook
    Shevardnadze’s Lessons For Ukraine
    Thomas de Waal August 20, 2014

    As he embarks on a long steep journey as leader of Ukraine, Poroshenko would do well to study Shevardnadze's statecraft in Georgia, with both his great successes and the later disappointments.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Georgia-Russia: Six Years After the War
    George Volski August 15, 2014

    It has been six years since the end of the Russia-Georgia war, but its effects still pervade political debates between the Georgian Dream coalition and the once powerful Mikheil Saakashvili’s United National Movement (UNM).

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Putin Brings Armenian and Azeri Leaders Together, But No Solution to Karabakh in Sight
    Alexey Malashenko August 14, 2014

    The Sochi meeting between Russia’s, Armenia’s, and Azerbaijan’s presidents is but one episode in the series of Russia’s protracted peacemaking efforts. Rather, the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict serves as a great pretext for Russia’s presence in the South Caucasus.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Out of Ideas in Sochi
    Thomas de Waal August 13, 2014

    Putin enjoyed his moment in the media limelight as a peace-maker over Karabakh. But the lack of substance from the summit suggests that Russia is as out of ideas as anyone else on the Karabakh conflict.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Karabakh’s Guns of August
    Thomas de Waal August 5, 2014

    The ceasefire in Nagorny Karabakh has been violated multiple times over the last few days. Without a more substantial peace process that both Armenia and Azerbaijan can buy into, the violence is all too likely to re-occur.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Georgia’s Drama of the Past
    Thomas de Waal July 30, 2014

    The criminal charges against former Georgian president Mikheil Saakashvili guarantee more recriminations about the recent past rather than discussion of the country’s future.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    In Memoriam: Eduard Shevardnadze, the Father of Modern Georgia
    Tedo Japaridze July 9, 2014

    Although many today may doubt the effectiveness of his policies, because of Eduard Shevardnadze Georgia has a set of options today, being in a position that in no way resembles the reality a generation ago.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Georgia: In a Roadmap, the Most Important Thing Is the Destination
    Tedo Japaridze July 3, 2014

    In recent years Georgia has taken every possible step to ensure that its western trajectory does not threaten to Russia. Georgia is seeking a constructive role, consistent with its values and in tune with its geography.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    For Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia Free Trade with Europe and Russia Is Possible
    Sergei Aleksashenko July 3, 2014

    There are few if any reasons for Russia to worry about an immediate negative impact on trade and economic interests of signing of the AA/DCFTA by Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia. The Russian government’s position is more likely to reflect concerns about the loss of geopolitical influence rather than trade and economic relations.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Caucasus Emir Seeks a Re-Brand
    Thomas de Waal July 2, 2014

    The roots of the insurgency in the North Caucasus remain: local muslims, especially in Dagestan, still experience rule by Moscow as brutal and corrupt and feel they have no stake in Russian society. These roots are only likely to get deeper as Russia becomes more autocratic.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Shevardnadze’s Lessons For Ukraine
    Thomas de Waal August 20, 2014

    As he embarks on a long steep journey as leader of Ukraine, Poroshenko would do well to study Shevardnadze's statecraft in Georgia, with both his great successes and the later disappointments.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Georgia-Russia: Six Years After the War
    George Volski August 15, 2014

    It has been six years since the end of the Russia-Georgia war, but its effects still pervade political debates between the Georgian Dream coalition and the once powerful Mikheil Saakashvili’s United National Movement (UNM).

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Putin Brings Armenian and Azeri Leaders Together, But No Solution to Karabakh in Sight
    Alexey Malashenko August 14, 2014

    The Sochi meeting between Russia’s, Armenia’s, and Azerbaijan’s presidents is but one episode in the series of Russia’s protracted peacemaking efforts. Rather, the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict serves as a great pretext for Russia’s presence in the South Caucasus.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Out of Ideas in Sochi
    Thomas de Waal August 13, 2014

    Putin enjoyed his moment in the media limelight as a peace-maker over Karabakh. But the lack of substance from the summit suggests that Russia is as out of ideas as anyone else on the Karabakh conflict.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Karabakh’s Guns of August
    Thomas de Waal August 5, 2014

    The ceasefire in Nagorny Karabakh has been violated multiple times over the last few days. Without a more substantial peace process that both Armenia and Azerbaijan can buy into, the violence is all too likely to re-occur.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Georgia’s Drama of the Past
    Thomas de Waal July 30, 2014

    The criminal charges against former Georgian president Mikheil Saakashvili guarantee more recriminations about the recent past rather than discussion of the country’s future.

     
  • Paper
    The Ukraine Crisis and the Resumption of Great-Power Rivalry
    Dmitri Trenin July 9, 2014

    Russia has stepped forward in Ukraine to protect its vital interests—which the West saw as aggression by a revisionist power. The ensuing conflict will last long and have an impact far beyond Europe.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    In Memoriam: Eduard Shevardnadze, the Father of Modern Georgia
    Tedo Japaridze July 9, 2014

    Although many today may doubt the effectiveness of his policies, because of Eduard Shevardnadze Georgia has a set of options today, being in a position that in no way resembles the reality a generation ago.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Georgia: In a Roadmap, the Most Important Thing Is the Destination
    Tedo Japaridze July 3, 2014

    In recent years Georgia has taken every possible step to ensure that its western trajectory does not threaten to Russia. Georgia is seeking a constructive role, consistent with its values and in tune with its geography.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    For Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia Free Trade with Europe and Russia Is Possible
    Sergei Aleksashenko July 3, 2014

    There are few if any reasons for Russia to worry about an immediate negative impact on trade and economic interests of signing of the AA/DCFTA by Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia. The Russian government’s position is more likely to reflect concerns about the loss of geopolitical influence rather than trade and economic relations.

     

Carnegie Experts on War and Peace in the Caucasus

  • Alexey Malashenko
    Scholar in Residence
    Religion, Society, and Security Program
    Moscow Center

    Malashenko is the co-chair of the Carnegie Moscow Center’s Religion, Society, and Security Program. He also taught at the Higher School of Economics from 2007 to 2008 and was a professor at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations from 2000 to 2006.

  •  
  • Dmitri Trenin
    Director
    Moscow Center

    Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, has been with the center since its inception. He also chairs the research council and the Foreign and Security Policy Program.

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