20 Years of Leading Analysis

Putin’s Return

 

Vladimir Putin has returned to the Kremlin, but he has a different country to rule. It is becoming increasingly clear that Russia will be unable to launch serious social and economic development unless its political system becomes more open and responsive. Russian society has been on the move, with more affluent consumers turning into citizens and the socio-economic demands of the less well-off rising. Putin is powerful, but he is no longer calling all the shots: for the first time in more than a decade, other political leaders are emerging. The new situation in Russia calls for a deeper understanding of the country’s evolution based on new evidence.

  • Eurasia Outlook
    Nuclear Weapons in Russia’s Amended Military Doctrine
    Vladimir Dvorkin January 22, 2015

    Some experts’ concern that the amended version of the Russian military doctrine would significantly alter conditions for nuclear weapons’ use in the context of the Ukraine crisis and the resulting sharp escalation of the military and political situation has turned out to be premature.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Ramzan Kadyrov as a Federal-Level Politician

    Ramzan Kadyrov, head of the Chechen Republic in the North Caucasus, is now firmly entrenched in Russian politics at the federal-level, and it appears that he is there to stay, because Putin and Kadyrov really need each other.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Why Does Russia’s Strategy in Asia Fail?
    Petr Topychkanov January 16, 2015 Русский

    The current political crisis in Russia’s relations with the West gives a strong impetus to Russian rapprochement with Asian countries. However, many analysts are of the opinion that no significant progress in this area has been achieved as of yet.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    The Russian Military in the Ukraine Crisis
    Dmitri Trenin January 12, 2015

    A book by the younger authors from the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST), Brothers Armed: Military Aspects of the Crisis in Ukraine, takes stock of the changes wrought in the Russian military organization and also analyzes the operation of the Russian forces in the current crisis in Ukraine.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    2014: Russia’s New Military Doctrine Tells It All
    Dmitri Trenin December 29, 2014 Русский

    As one of his final acts in 2014, President Putin signed on December 26 the country’s new military doctrine. The new doctrine makes it clear that even if the West is not officially an adversary, it is a powerful competitor and a bitter rival, a source of most of military risks and threats.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Vladimir Putin’s Annual Address and Its Message

    Several Carnegie experts from different offices discuss the significance of Putin’s address to the future of Russia and its role in the international community.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    What Do You Expect from Vladimir Putin’s Visit to India?
    Arun Mohanty, Tatiana Shaumyan, Vinay Shukla, Petr Topychkanov December 9, 2014

    What do you expect from Vladimir Putin’s visit to India? Eurasia Outlook posed the question to some leading experts in the field in order to gather some predictions about the meeting’s significance to Russia-India relations moving forward.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Putin’s Urbi et Orbi
    Dmitri Trenin December 5, 2014

    Vladimir Putin’s annual address to parliament on December 4, 2014 has laid down the Kremlin's medium-term strategy. The next four or five years will be very difficult if not critical for Russia, and the Russians, in Putin’s view, absolutely must meet the challenges and win.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Winners and Losers in the Black Sea Gas Game
    Thomas de Waal December 3, 2014

    Calling time on the South Stream pipeline project, Putin announced a new Black Sea pipeline to Turkey instead. The new project could be a competitor to Azerbaijan gas ambitions, but, at the same time, it may require more collaboration in the future.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    What Do You Expect From Vladimir Putin’s Visit to Turkey?
    Ümit Pamir, Dmitri Trenin, Memduh Karakullukçu, Pavel Shlykov, Adnan Vatansever December 1, 2014

    In view of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Turkey, Eurasia Outlook asked a few of the authors of the recent paper on Russian-Turkish cooperation what to expect from this visit.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Nuclear Weapons in Russia’s Amended Military Doctrine
    Vladimir Dvorkin January 22, 2015

    Some experts’ concern that the amended version of the Russian military doctrine would significantly alter conditions for nuclear weapons’ use in the context of the Ukraine crisis and the resulting sharp escalation of the military and political situation has turned out to be premature.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Ramzan Kadyrov as a Federal-Level Politician

    Ramzan Kadyrov, head of the Chechen Republic in the North Caucasus, is now firmly entrenched in Russian politics at the federal-level, and it appears that he is there to stay, because Putin and Kadyrov really need each other.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Why Does Russia’s Strategy in Asia Fail?
    Petr Topychkanov January 16, 2015 Русский

    The current political crisis in Russia’s relations with the West gives a strong impetus to Russian rapprochement with Asian countries. However, many analysts are of the opinion that no significant progress in this area has been achieved as of yet.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Putin’s Biggest Challenge Is Public Support
    Dmitri Trenin January 15, 2015 Global Times

    To escape the analogy of a revolution, Vladimir Putin must rise above the rapacious elite, and to avoid being overthrown, he must replace it.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    The Russian Military in the Ukraine Crisis
    Dmitri Trenin January 12, 2015

    A book by the younger authors from the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST), Brothers Armed: Military Aspects of the Crisis in Ukraine, takes stock of the changes wrought in the Russian military organization and also analyzes the operation of the Russian forces in the current crisis in Ukraine.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Despite Crisis, Reform Elusive for Russia
    Dmitri Trenin December 31, 2014 Global Times

    For the Russian economic and political system, as well as for the country’s foreign relations, the current economic crisis is an existential one. Russia will exit from it in a very different form from what it is today.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    2014: Russia’s New Military Doctrine Tells It All
    Dmitri Trenin December 29, 2014 Русский

    As one of his final acts in 2014, President Putin signed on December 26 the country’s new military doctrine. The new doctrine makes it clear that even if the West is not officially an adversary, it is a powerful competitor and a bitter rival, a source of most of military risks and threats.

     
  • Op-Ed
    From Inside Putin’s Parallel Universe, the Crisis Looks Bright
    Eugene Rumer December 22, 2014 Financial Times Русский

    The crisis presents Putin with an opportunity to tighten his grip on business, to see who is loyal and who is not, to pick winners and losers, to decide who will receive state support and whose assets should be “redistributed”.

     
  • Paper
    Russia’s Breakout From the Post–Cold War System: The Drivers of Putin’s Course
    Dmitri Trenin December 22, 2014

    In 2014, Russia broke out of the post–Cold War order and openly challenged the U.S.-led international system. Moscow’s new course is laid down first and foremost by President Vladimir Putin, but it also reflects the rising power of Russian nationalism.

     
  • Event
    Russia and the West: What Next?
    Dmitri Trenin December 16, 2014 Moscow

    In 2014, Russia broke out of the post–Cold War order and openly challenged the U.S.-led international system. The new period of rivalry between the Kremlin and the West is likely to endure for years.

     

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