20 Years of Leading Analysis

Putin’s Return

 

Vladimir Putin has returned to the Kremlin, but he has a different country to rule. It is becoming increasingly clear that Russia will be unable to launch serious social and economic development unless its political system becomes more open and responsive. Russian society has been on the move, with more affluent consumers turning into citizens and the socio-economic demands of the less well-off rising. Putin is powerful, but he is no longer calling all the shots: for the first time in more than a decade, other political leaders are emerging. The new situation in Russia calls for a deeper understanding of the country’s evolution based on new evidence.

  • Op-Ed
    Russia Must Sit Up and Take Notice of India
    Dmitri Trenin December 9, 2014 The Moscow Times

    It appears that Vladimir Putin’s visit to India will not lead to a breakthrough in Russian-Indian relations. If nothing is done soon following his visit to materially upgrade the relationship, its stagnation will become qualitative, not just quantitative.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Weakest Part of Russia’s Relations with India
    Petr Topychkanov December 1, 2014 Russia & India Report

    Russia needs to use every opportunity to inform the Indian government and public about Moscow’s priorities in regional and global politics and about its views on all issues which are relevant to Indians.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Russia, Ukraine, and the Visegrad: Time to Get Real
    Balázs Jarábik November 14, 2014 Visegrad Revue

    The crisis in Ukraine has betrayed fault lines in the Visegrad Group. Unless Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic change course, the “golden age” of Central Europe may come to an end.

     
  • Op-Ed
    The Survival Paradigm
    Lilia Shevtsova October 21, 2014 Day

    The war in Ukraine has given Russia a pretext for the military and patriotic consolidation and militarist survival paradigm.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Putin Has Fought His Way Into a Corner
    Lilia Shevtsova September 29, 2014 Financial Times Русский

    By turning Russia into a war state, President Putin has unleashed a process he cannot stop and made himself hostage to suicidal statecraft.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Collapse of the World Order?
    Alexei Arbatov September 23, 2014 Russia in Global Affairs Русский

    The failed unipolar world is being replaced with a polycentric world order based on several major centers of power. Russia can become a full-fledged global center of power only if it moves to a high-tech economy and implements democratic reforms.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Putin Ends the Interregnum
    Lilia Shevtsova August 28, 2014 American Interest

    Vladimir Putin’s increasingly reckless interventions in Ukraine should force the West to reevaluate everything it thought it knew about the collapse of the Soviet Union and the past two decades of Western policy on Russia.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Can Germany Save Ukraine?
    Dmitri Trenin August 28, 2014 National Interest

    Berlin is critical to any future settlement of the Ukraine crisis. It is too difficult to reach a deal on the settlement, but the absence of any deal deemed minimally acceptable to all sides would steer Europe toward an abyss.

     
  • Op-Ed
    As US, EU Close Doors, China, Russia Open New Ones
    Dmitri Trenin August 24, 2014 Global Times 中文

    Russia’s efforts to find an acceptable place for itself in the U.S.-led Western system have ended in a bitter disappointment. The changing trading patterns point to a new era in Moscow’s foreign relations, in which Sino-Russian relations will be taking center stage.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Putin Will Not Accept Defeat
    Eugene Rumer August 15, 2014 POLITICO Magazine Русский

    Kyiv and Moscow are on a collision course. They may already be past the point of no return where a negotiated solution might have kept the crisis from escalating.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Vladimir Putin’s Annual Address and Its Message

    Several Carnegie experts from different offices discuss the significance of Putin’s address to the future of Russia and its role in the international community.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Russia Must Sit Up and Take Notice of India
    Dmitri Trenin December 9, 2014 The Moscow Times

    It appears that Vladimir Putin’s visit to India will not lead to a breakthrough in Russian-Indian relations. If nothing is done soon following his visit to materially upgrade the relationship, its stagnation will become qualitative, not just quantitative.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    What Do You Expect from Vladimir Putin’s Visit to India?
    Arun Mohanty, Tatiana Shaumyan, Vinay Shukla, Petr Topychkanov December 9, 2014

    What do you expect from Vladimir Putin’s visit to India? Eurasia Outlook posed the question to some leading experts in the field in order to gather some predictions about the meeting’s significance to Russia-India relations moving forward.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Putin’s Urbi et Orbi
    Dmitri Trenin December 5, 2014

    Vladimir Putin’s annual address to parliament on December 4, 2014 has laid down the Kremlin's medium-term strategy. The next four or five years will be very difficult if not critical for Russia, and the Russians, in Putin’s view, absolutely must meet the challenges and win.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Winners and Losers in the Black Sea Gas Game
    Thomas de Waal December 3, 2014

    Calling time on the South Stream pipeline project, Putin announced a new Black Sea pipeline to Turkey instead. The new project could be a competitor to Azerbaijan gas ambitions, but, at the same time, it may require more collaboration in the future.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Weakest Part of Russia’s Relations with India
    Petr Topychkanov December 1, 2014 Russia & India Report

    Russia needs to use every opportunity to inform the Indian government and public about Moscow’s priorities in regional and global politics and about its views on all issues which are relevant to Indians.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    What Do You Expect From Vladimir Putin’s Visit to Turkey?
    Ümit Pamir, Dmitri Trenin, Memduh Karakullukçu, Pavel Shlykov, Adnan Vatansever December 1, 2014

    In view of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Turkey, Eurasia Outlook asked a few of the authors of the recent paper on Russian-Turkish cooperation what to expect from this visit.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Frozen Donbas?
    Balázs Jarábik November 17, 2014 Русский

    In Donbas, there is mostly a tactical operation aimed at reinforcing rebel positions, not preparation for a full-fledged war. The West may not have a better solution than to accept to freeze Donbas for the winter.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Russia, Ukraine, and the Visegrad: Time to Get Real
    Balázs Jarábik November 14, 2014 Visegrad Revue

    The crisis in Ukraine has betrayed fault lines in the Visegrad Group. Unless Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic change course, the “golden age” of Central Europe may come to an end.

     
  • Eurasia Outlook
    Russia Divided
    Alexey Malashenko November 11, 2014 Русский

    The ethno-religious tensions in Russia have subsided a bit in 2014, because the Ukrainian conflict has shifted the xenophobic sentiments from an internal to an external adversary. However, this shift does not eliminate xenophobia altogether—on the contrary, overall aggressiveness is on the rise.

     

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