The past year has ushered in tumultuous changes for both the United States and Russia, as well as, for their bilateral relationship. Alexei Arbatov joined a Carnegie Washington D.C. audience to examine the nature of these changes and to propose his views about the relationship going forward. Ambassador (Ret.) James F. Collins moderated the discussion.
Arbatov explained that both conservatives and liberals within the Russian foreign policy community have conflicting perspective on the future of the U.S.-Russia relationship.
- U.S. foreign policy positions will remain the same and the U.S. will continue to act unilaterally.
- A great deal of U.S. foreign policy will change, resulting in better U.S. relations with nations such as India, China, and the former Soviet republics. Such a transformation will only serve as a detriment to Russia, which should do all it can to prevent this shift in U.S. policy.
- While U.S. foreign policy is sure to change, Russia’s will not, creating increased tension in the bilateral relationship.
- The foreign policies of both nations will change, allowing for a better relationship to evolve provided the two countries keep in mind the lessons from the 1990s. Arbatov shares this perspective.