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21.12.2020
An 'Act of War?' Avoiding a Dangerous Crisis in Cyberspace

An 'Act of War?' Avoiding a Dangerous Crisis in Cyberspace

The current U.S.-Russian confrontation is a state of relations one step removed from war. Engaging in consultations aimed at developing some basic rules of the road in cyberspace makes eminent sense.
18.12.2020
Pandemic Changes Face of Farming in Russian Far East

Pandemic Changes Face of Farming in Russian Far East

Despite many years of talk of the Far East’s economic dependence on Chinese capital and labor, the pandemic has revealed that both of those resources can be found in Russia itself.
17.12.2020
Managing Adversity: Russia and the Baltics

Managing Adversity: Russia and the Baltics

The Baltic countries and Russia need to talk to each other. A lack of communication could cause incidents to escalate and lead to a military confrontation. For this reason, dialogue on military risk reduction with Russia and Belarus is crucial.
16.12.2020
Why Belarusians Are Turning Against Russia

Why Belarusians Are Turning Against Russia

Russia’s association with Lukashenko’s crackdown may persuade Belarusians that it is impossible to be a pro-Russian democrat: that one can only be one or the other. Support for authoritarianism is going out of fashion in Belarus; pro-Russianness may, too.
15.12.2020
Podcast: How Has Coronavirus Altered the Debate on Digital Surveillance?

Podcast: How Has Coronavirus Altered the Debate on Digital Surveillance?

Alex Gabuev and Marietje Schaake discuss the governance of the digital domain in the coronavirus era.
11.12.2020
How to Safely Manage U.S.-Russian Great-Power Competition

How to Safely Manage U.S.-Russian Great-Power Competition

This is not a call for a reset or a new partnership, but rather for a responsible, less hostile relationship between rivals bitterly divided by visions of world order, geopolitical interests, and values.
9.12.2020
Putin, Unlimited? Challenges to Russia’s Regime After the Reset of Presidential Terms

Putin, Unlimited? Challenges to Russia’s Regime After the Reset of Presidential Terms

Faced with a pandemic, growing inequality, and widespread dissatisfaction, the Kremlin has launched a series of measures aimed at consolidating Russia’s authoritarian political system. Will they work?
3.12.2020
Why Chinese-Russian Law Importing Is a Myth

Why Chinese-Russian Law Importing Is a Myth

If Russia and China study each other’s legislation, it’s purely out of practical considerations for the purposes of doing business and protecting the interests of their own nationals.
1.12.2020
Is Putin Really Considering a Military Alliance With China?

Is Putin Really Considering a Military Alliance With China?

Moscow knows that the United States’ main concern is the military rapprochement of Moscow and Beijing, in particular anything resembling a military alliance. It’s likely no coincidence that Putin touched on this sore point in recent comments.
30.11.2020
Belarus Protests Have Explosive Potential for EU-Russia Relations

Belarus Protests Have Explosive Potential for EU-Russia Relations

The Belarusian revolution is far from over, and there are at least three scenarios in which the EU and Russia won’t be able to keep their differences over Belarus from escalating from the current moderate competition into an open geopolitical crisis like that seen in Ukraine.
27.11.2020
Biden’s Approach to U.S. Allies and Adversaries Will Challenge Russia

Biden’s Approach to U.S. Allies and Adversaries Will Challenge Russia

President Biden will challenge the Kremlin both domestically and geopolitically. To thwart that dual challenge, Russia needs to deal with its numerous vulnerabilities effectively before its adversary is able to exploit them.
25.11.2020
How Biden Will Impact Russian Domestic Policy

How Biden Will Impact Russian Domestic Policy

What action the Russian authorities take largely depends on the early actions and statements of the Biden administration. If Biden’s team shows a rational approach to possible areas of cooperation, that will at the very least delay any large-scale anti-American propaganda campaign.
24.11.2020
Podcast: What (If Anything) Does Russia Expect From Biden?

Podcast: What (If Anything) Does Russia Expect From Biden?

Under Donald Trump, U.S.-Russian relations hit rock bottom and a record number of sanctions were imposed against Russia. Will a Biden administration bring change for better or worse?
23.11.2020
U.S. Sanctions Under Biden: What to Expect

U.S. Sanctions Under Biden: What to Expect

The relationship between Russia and the United States will remain one of fierce rivalry, and that paradigm is unlikely to change. New political crises are possible, and will bring with them more sanctions.
20.11.2020
Trump May Be Leaving, But Russia Sanctions Will Stay

Trump May Be Leaving, But Russia Sanctions Will Stay

Sanctions are becoming a form of economic regulation in this era of new protectionism. By virtue of its unique position in the world, the United States has the most opportunities to exercise this kind of regulation in its own interests.
19.11.2020
Joe Biden’s Foreign Policy and Russia

Joe Biden’s Foreign Policy and Russia

Biden calls Russia the biggest threat to the United States, and sees Moscow’s policies as aimed at weakening Western countries internally; undermining the unity of such institutions as NATO and the European Union; and subverting the liberal world order.
19.11.2020
Moldova Has a New President. What Next?

Moldova Has a New President. What Next?

President Sandu’s key imperative will be to foster a functional majority in parliament that produces a reformist government. But the current parliamentary configuration is not conducive to a major reforms push.
17.11.2020
Lukashenko’s Vicious Circle

Lukashenko’s Vicious Circle

In the event of a managed transition of power in the next year or so, it’s military men who will supervise that transition and help to select a successor—who looks increasingly likely to be one of them.
12.11.2020
Moscow’s New Rules

Moscow’s New Rules

Simultaneous crises in Belarus, Nagorno-Karabakh, and Kyrgyzstan have demonstrated Russia’s maturing approach to its neighborhood. Russia is learning to mind its limitations; to repel residual nostalgia; and to think straight, putting issues before personalities, and staying focused on its own interests, leaving the empire farther and farther behind.
11.11.2020
A Precarious Peace for Karabakh

A Precarious Peace for Karabakh

The November 10 agreement could turn out to be a rapidly assembled construction that is not sustainable. Moscow may need wider international support to make it work.
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