Carnegie Moscow Center
Eurasia Outlook returns in 2014 and in the months ahead it will focus on the issues that are likely to shape the future of Eurasia.
In 2013, Europe was a peaceful place, but elsewhere in Eurasia, things were not as peaceful. This eventful year promises an interesting 2014.
Russia is reacting to the rise of Asia by shifting its attention eastward—from the Ural Mountains to the Amur River. Moscow must learn to act like a Euro-Pacific power.
China has begun to play a more active, innovative role in international affairs and has adopted a new global perspective.
The 2013 Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference will bring together over 800 experts and officials from more than 45 countries and international organizations to discuss emerging trends in nuclear nonproliferation, strategic stability, deterrence, disarmament, and nuclear energy.
Stabilizing the Korean Peninsula requires regional solidarity. Tougher sanctions or high-level dialogue with Pyongyang could erode that necessary cohesion.
China’s new leaders will stay focused on domestic issues. With its growing relative economic and military advantages, China is largely comfortable with its current foreign policies.
If the United States and Europe look the other way, North Korea's provocations will continue to threaten the regional order. The Six-Party Talks are unlikely to provide a solution, but Russia could intervene.
U.S. diplomatic efforts are better expended on disincentivizing North Korea from selling nuclear materials and know-how than pointless denuclearization efforts.
The concept of nuclear disarmament as an essential condition for nuclear nonproliferation is again entering the realm of practical politics, but the movement toward nuclear disarmament is extremely difficult and fraught with great dangers.